Arizona is favored in tonight’s matchup with the Montana Grizzlies by 14.5 points, with the over/under set at 133.5.
By the numbers, Montana plays at a pretty slow pace. They are 280th in the country with 68.7 possessions per 40 minutes. They are 211th at 98.2 points per 100 possessions. Defensively they are 111th allowing 97.3 pts. per 100 possessions.
As for the Wildcats tempo, they are 199th in the country with 70.2 possessions per 40 minutes. They have, however, been putting up a decent amount of points and are ranked 50th scoring 108.3 points per 100 possessions. On defense they are 33rd allowing 91.8 points per 100 possessions.
(For comparison, Gonzaga is one of the more uptempo/high scoring teams in college basketball and they average just over 75 possessions per 40 minutes and 119 points per 100 possessions.)
In their previous game against Stanford, Junior guard Jemarl Baker had another big game, burying 8 of his 13 3-point attempts and scoring 29 points. On the year Baker is shooting just under 48% from 3 and is Arizona’s leading scorer averaging 16.7 points per game. And–largely due to Baker’s blistering start to the season–the Wildcats are 31st in the nation in 3-point shooting percentage at 39%.
Also, in that game, the Cats gave up 42 points in the paint. They had an extremely difficult time guarding the rolls to the basket by Stanford. No doubt Coach Miller has spent the last couple of practice sessions reviewing and drilling Pick N Roll defense and their coverages/responsibilities.
The Grizzlies are an average 3-point shooting team and are 331st in the nation in 3-point shot attempts per game at 14.4, making 4.9 (313th) of them. (There are 357 NCAA Division 1 teams.)
The Grizzlies are 3-4 entering tonight. They are not a very deep team and their offensive production is spread out pretty evenly among their top 6 players. They did beat Washington in Seattle by 8 points two games ago. Even though this may be a down year for the Huskies it was still a good win for the Grizzlies.